New information is suggesting that temperature rise may exceed current IPCC expectations. Five degrees Celsius is bound to give rise to more than just 2 metres sea level rise.
In my view, while 2 metres was strongly supported by people like Dr Hansen under 2008 Business as Usual scenarios, this recent information making it likely that we will get 5 degrees Celsius warming by 2100 leads me to recommend that we use the 5 metres by 2100 table and chart here as our basis for sign locations.
5 & 5 by 2100. Gulp!
In my view, while 2 metres was strongly supported by people like Dr Hansen under 2008 Business as Usual scenarios, this recent information making it likely that we will get 5 degrees Celsius warming by 2100 leads me to recommend that we use the 5 metres by 2100 table and chart here as our basis for sign locations.
5 & 5 by 2100. Gulp!
This condition could give rise to accelerated ice loss, and hence sea level rise.
Thus by 'eyeometry' a curve fitted to past and expected long term SLR could entail this data:
| DATE (YEAR AD) | SLR (m) |
| 1800 | 0 |
| 1900 | 0.02 |
| 2000 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 0.5 |
| 2050 | 1.4 |
| 2075 | 2.9 |
| 2100 | 5 |
| 2200 | 15 |
| 2300 | 27 |
| 2400 | 40 |
| 2500 | 52 |
| 2600 | 59.5 |
| 2700 | 63.5 |
| 2800 | 66.5 |
| 2900 | 68.5 |
| 3000 | 70 |
| 3100 | 71 |
| 4000 | 75 |
| 5000 | 77.5 |
and look like this:
and in detail
(Click on images for enlarged view)
This could be a more realistic view of our imminent future to use in our depictions of the Sea Level Rise that is coming.
So find out how far above high water your site is, and interpolate values from the above table or charts to figure out what date to write on your sign.
Posts
My name is Olisa Blessing, I am so happy. I never believe I will be this happy again in life. I have worked as an air hostess ( cabin crew ) for 3years but early this year, I lost my job because of this deadly disease called Herpes virus (HSV).
ReplyDeleteI never felt sick or notice any symptoms. Not until the day all workers were asked to bring their current doctors report card, that was how I got tested and I found out that I'm HSV positive and that made me lose my job because it was considered as an STD and is an incurable disease.
I was so depressed to the extent that I started thinking of suicide. I explained my situation to an older friend of mine, who often said to me 'a problem shared is a problem half solved.
She felt so pity for me that she referred me to Dr. Utu Herbal Cure, that was how I contacted Dr. Utu and got the medication from him and was cured for real.
I went back to my work a month later with a HERPES NEGATIVE test result. They were astonished and curious when they saw my HSV NEGATIVE result so they carried out another test on me in the company lab to be very sure and they found out I am a HERPES VIRUS FREED PERSON.
Finally, the initial HERPES POSITIVE result was replaced with a new HERPES NEGATIVE test result, and my position was given back to me with an apology letter and a salary increase.
Beware of impersonators,
Dr. Utu can only be reached at:
drutuherbalcure@gmail.com.