Another perspective - Arctic Ice Gone for Good by 2040?

This from October 2010 -  a rather more scientific approach than mine earlier.

by GARETH on OCTOBER 18, 2010
A few days ago I used a combination of Arctic sea ice volume data from the University of Washington’s PIOMAS model and NSIDC sea ice extent numbers to project that the Arctic Ocean would be effectively ice-free in late summer within ten years. The key to that exercise was the rate at which the volume of sea ice has been declining ...
As I was saying...  

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